“The survey polling mode was via SMS/Text with a 95% Confidence Level, 4% standard margin of error, and n=704 completed responses. The poll was sponsored by Madison McQueen, a Los Angeles based media firm that has
elected Assembly Members, State Senators and Members of Congress throughout California.”
According to a new statewide survey from DecipherAi, conducted by veteran pollster David Wolfson, a staggering 48% of likely California voters are now open to voting for a Republican governor in 2026.
That’s right—nearly half the state is ready to ditch the Democrats’ stranglehold on power.
That opportunity may be closer than anyone expected. California’s Republican voter registration sits at just 25%, but a near-majority now says they’re willing to cross party lines if it means real change.
The polling was conducted from March 6 to 9 among likely November 2026 voters.
Among the most damning figures:
83% of voters said gas prices are too high in California
69% think California’s Political Leaders have not done enough to bring down energy/utility costs
71% believe the Governor and Legislative Leaders have not addressed CA’s high cost of living
73% support fully funding anti-crime Prop. 36, which has not occurred
72% feel homelessness still is a big problem
60% oppose free healthcare to undocumented illegal immigrants
62% support a “full independent investigation” of the recent Los Angeles Wildfires
Only 24% of Californians think males (transgender) should compete in female sports
“Voters are increasingly concerned about the direction of California under one-party rule,” said Owen Brennan, president of Madison McQueen.
“On issue after issue, voters are seeing their quality of life fall and their cost of living rise.”
Brennan added, “With the right leadership and policy focus, California Republicans are looking at the biggest window of opportunity in a generation.”
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